As Hong Kong registered only minor cooling to start November, weather focus shifted dramatically toward the impending threat of Severe Tropical Storm Fung-wong, which is rapidly gaining strength over the Pacific and forecast to reach typhoon and potentially super typhoon status this weekend before approaching the northern South China Sea early next week. Forecasters at the Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) project the intensifying system could enter the city’s 800-kilometer monitoring radius as early as Monday, November 10, bringing escalating wind conditions to the southeastern coast of China just as a dry northeast monsoon begins to exert influence.
The storm, named Fung-wong (after Lantau Peak), maintained severe tropical storm intensity through Friday afternoon, November 7, traversing the Northwest Pacific Ocean east of the Philippines. Current meteorological analysis indicates a rapid intensification phase over the weekend, potentially achieving super typhoon intensity by Sunday. After nearing or crossing the Philippines, the system is projected to remain a robust typhoon as it enters the northeastern sector of the South China Sea.
Tracking the Threat
The latest HKO track guidance suggests Fung-wong will continue a strengthening trajectory as it approaches Luzon. Subsequently, the storm is broadly anticipated to execute a turn toward the north, steering the system in the general direction of Taiwan. However, significant uncertainty exists regarding the precise timing and location of this northerly recurve, especially considering the counteracting influence of the strengthening northeast monsoon.
Meteorologists anticipate that the dry, seasonal monsoon will gradually weaken Fung-wong from mid-week onward, though its initial effects will be dramatic. The convergence of the monsoon and the tropical cyclone will significantly boost winds across Hong Kong and the mainland coast.
Expected Weather Conditions
Outdoor enthusiasts and maritime operators should take note: strong winds are expected to develop early next week. From Tuesday, November 11, onwards, offshore waters and elevated terrain in Hong Kong are highly likely to experience winds reaching Force 6 on the Beaufort scale, meeting the meteorological threshold for a strong wind warning. These brisk conditions will sweep in following a sunny and relatively warm weekend, marked by brighter spells on Saturday and Sunday.
As of Friday, Hong Kong was already feeling the increased easterly flow associated with the initial onset of the northeast monsoon, resulting in mostly cloudy skies, sporadic light showers, and strong winds over exposed coastal and high-ground areas.
Preparing for Impacts
While the immediate impact on Hong Kong this weekend will be limited to fair weather, residents and businesses should prepare for rapidly deteriorating conditions by Tuesday. The combined effects of the typhoon’s approach and the intensifying monsoon could lead to sudden changes in maritime and high-altitude safety.
The uncertainty surrounding the storm’s recurve means residents should closely monitor official HKO updates. The interaction between large tropical systems and monsoons frequently creates unpredictable weather patterns, making storm preparation vital. Coastal areas and those working offshore should secure loose objects and prepare for prolonged strong wind conditions early next week.